Understanding when and where seasonal climate outlooks provide reliable decision support information is an important step to increasing confidence in and adoption of climate risk assessment in managing grazing lands. A continental-scale framework was developed to allow statistical tests, e.g. LEPS scores, to be calculated for seasonal forecasting systems. These tests indicated that seasonal climate outlooks using pasture growth as the predicted variable had greater reliability than for rainfall. We discuss preliminary 'skill' analysis and how spatial and temporal variability in reliability of outlooks could be utilised by scientists and advisers to improve the value of climate risk information available to support more sustainable management of inter-annual climate variability in the rangelands.
Renmark, South Australia
ISSN 1323 660
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Full-text publications from the Australian Rangelands Society (ARS) Biennial Conference Proceedings (1997-), Rangeland Journal (ARS/CSIRO; 1976-), plus videos and other resources about the rangelands of Australia.