Rangeland Ecology & Management

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Uncertainty and sustainability in the management of rangelands
Author
Quaas, Martin F
Baumgartner, Stefan
Becker, Christian
Frank, Karin
Muller, Birgit
Publisher
Ecological Economics
Publication Year
2007
Body

We analyze a dynamic and stochastic ecological-economic model of grazing management in semi-arid rangelands. The ecosystem is driven by stochastic precipitation. A risk averse farmer chooses a grazing management strategy under uncertainty such as to maximize expected utility from farming income. Grazing management strategies are rules about which share of the rangeland is given rest depending on the actual rainfall in that year. In a first step we determine a myopic farmer's optimal grazing management strategy and show that a risk averse farmer chooses a strategy such as to obtain insurance from the ecosystem: the optimal strategy reduces income variability, but yields less mean income than possible. In a second step we analyze the long-run ecological and economic impact of different strategies. We conclude that a myopic farmer, if he is sufficiently risk averse, will choose a sustainable grazing management strategy, even if he does not take into account long-term ecological and economic benefits of conservative strategies.

Language
English
Resource Type
Text
Document Type
Journal Issue/Article
Journal Volume
62
Journal Number
2
Journal Pages
251-266
Journal Name
Ecological Economics
Keywords
Ecological-economic model
Semi-arid rangeland
grazing management
Risk aversion
uncertainty
sustainability
Africa