Rangeland Ecology & Management

Get reliable science

Stocking rate risk for pasture-fed steers under weather uncertainty
Author
Parsch, L. D.
Popp, M. P.
Loewer, O. J.
Publisher
Society for Range Management
Publication Year
1997-09-01
Body

A biophysical model, GRAZE, is used to simulate beef forage performance for stocker steers pastured on common bermudagrass. Eight alternative stocking rates, ranging from low to high grazing intensity, are simulated over 14 simulated over 14 "states of nature" using historical weather data. The impact of weather variability on animal weight gain and economic performance is assessed and empirical cumulative distributions of net returns are developed. The risk efficient stocking rate strategies are identified for alternative decision-maker risk using generalized stochastic dominance. Under improved pasture conditions in Arkansas, results show that (a) expected weight gain per head is largely independent of grazing intensity until a critical stocking rate (6 hd/ha) is attained; (b) the highest expected net return per hectare is achieved under a lower stocking rate rate (10 hd/ha) than one which results in highest expected weight gain per hectare (12 hd/ha); and, (c) an increase in the stocking rate is accompanied by greater production (weather) risk which is reflected in increased variance of weight gain and net returns as well as a higher frequency and magnitude of economic losses. The Journal of Range Management archives are made available by the Society for Range Management and the University of Arizona Libraries. Contact lbry-journals@email.arizona.edu for further information. Migrated from OJS platform August 2020

Language
en
Resource Type
Text
Document Type
Journal Issue/Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
10.2307/4003711
Additional Information
Parsch, L. D., Popp, M. P., & Loewer, O. J. (1997). Stocking rate risk for pasture-fed steers under weather uncertainty. Journal of Range Management, 50(5), 541-549.
IISN
0022-409X
OAI Identifier
oai:repository.arizona.edu:10150/644176
Journal Volume
50
Journal Number
5
Journal Pages
541-549
Journal Name
Journal of Range Management
Keywords
biophysical simulation model
Arkansas
uncertainty
Cynodon dactylon
risk
simulation models
costs and returns
grassland improvement
market prices
production costs
liveweight gain
rain
stocking rate
steers
grazing intensity
forage