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Plant production forecasting; current state and opportunities for advancing grazing land management
Author
Schantz, MC
Hardegree SP
Publisher
XII International Rangeland Congress
Publication Year
2025
Body

Forecasting climate and plant production provides an advantageous way to move from reactive to proactive grazing land management. Throughout grazing lands water availability and temperature are primary drivers of annual net primary plant production (ANPP) and total annual precipitation is a fundamental indicator of ANPP in native plant dominated communities that receive less than 500 mm of precipitation. In this paper we review the process by which forecasts are produced and showcase several examples of where climate and plant production forecasts can be useful in diverse US rangeland ecoregions. While forecasting is probabilistic and may not be beneficial in all circumstances, our results suggest that if forecasts are used over time, they can provide higher quality information than just chance alone. Collectively, climate and plant production forecasting could aid in moving grazing land management from a reactive to a proactive discipline by allowing producers to prepare for drought or flooding events, set appropriate stocking rates and avoid inflated hay costs, select the most appropriate crop species for annual conditions, and improve rangeland success by only seeding when weather conditions are suitable for establishment.

Language
English
Resource Type
Text
Document Type
Conference Proceedings
Additional Information
This paper is part of the larger XII International Rangelands Congress Proceedings. Page Numbers: 603-610. Theme: Theme 3 / Decision support tools for pastoralists and grazing systems
ISSN
978-0-646-72121-7
Conference Name
International Rangeland Congress
Collection
International Rangelands Congress
Keywords
weather and climate
forecasting
region
biomass
rangeland