Rangeland Ecology & Management

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FREQUENCY AND DURATION OF DROUGHT PATCHES ACROSS THE SANTA RITA EXPERIMENTAL RANGE, 1940-2012
Author
McClaran, Mitchel
Wei, Haiyan
Publisher
Society for Range Management
Publication Year
2014
Body

Large and intense droughts raise concerns, but equally intense droughts may occur at smaller spatial scales, even when large droughts don't. Typical rangeland management units are 5-15 km2, therefore detecting small-scale droughts is critical. In this study we describe, a) the frequency and duration of different size drought patches, b) How those patterns differ between annual and seasonal time-frames, and c) How those patterns differ after 1996. Our work represents the 225 km2 Santa Rita Experimental Range (SRER) in southern Arizona with 73 y of monthly precipitation from 22 gauges, temperature from PRISM. The SRER divided into 100 1.5km*1.5km cells, precipitation interpolated from 22 gauges. Time-frames were Winter (Oct-May), Summer (Jun-Sep), and Water Year (Oct-Sep). We report drought with the Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) because it includes precipitation and temperature metrics. Drought defined as the driest 20th percentile (driest 15 y) for each cell. Contiguous drought cells define a drought patch. Since 1996, drought is 2.5-12 times more frequent and up to 2.6 times longer, drought patches the size of pastures and water units occurred in 59-77% of years, compared to 16-28% of years before 1996, and winter drought frequency increased 150-360%. Drought frequency decreases as patch size increases, but the changes in frequency since 1996 were not uniform across patch sizes. For Water Year (12-month) time frame, drought frequency increased 4-fold for most patch sizes, and 8-12 fold for the largest sizes. For Seasonal (4-8 month) time frame, drought frequency increased 2.5-3 fold for all patch sizes. This difference resulted from a greater contribution of the large patches (>50 cells or 50% of SRER) of winter drought after 1996. In response to these conditions, managers should make efforts to detect the fine-scale pattern of drought, and increase flexibility in operations to avoid the drought patches.

Language
English
Resource Type
Text
Document Type
Conference Proceedings
Conference Name
SRM Orlando, FL